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Blo Weiss Itzig vs FC Marisca Mersch Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Marisca Mersch in this Luxembourg Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Blo Weiss Itzig
20%
Draws
80%
FC Marisca Mersch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Marisca Mersch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Marisca Mersch lately — more wins on the board than Blo Weiss Itzig.
  • Win probability leans FC Marisca Mersch's way, sitting at 50%.
  • FC Marisca Mersch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Marisca Mersch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Blo Weiss Itzig Clean Sheet 20%
FC Marisca Mersch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blo Weiss Itzig FC Marisca Mersch
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 1 7
Draws 0 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 0.82 1.39
Goals Conceded 3.82 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2023 Luxembourg Cup
Blo Weiss Itzig vs FC Marisca Mersch
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blo Weiss Itzig 24 / 100
FC Marisca Mersch 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blo Weiss Itzig FC Marisca Mersch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Marisca Mersch Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Marisca Mersch conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Blo Weiss Itzig scored in 36% of their last 11 games.

FC Marisca Mersch's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Marisca Mersch
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Blo Weiss Itzig

(Home)
01 Oct
Blo Weiss Itzig
0 : 4
FC Marisca Mersch
02 Oct
Blo Weiss Itzig
0 : 2
Union Titus Petange
03 Oct
Blo Weiss Itzig
0 : 6
Victoria Rosport
16 Oct
Hesperange
4 : 0
Blo Weiss Itzig
10 Nov
Blo Weiss Itzig
2 : 4
Differdange
Page 1 of 3

FC Marisca Mersch

(Away)
20 Sept
Sporting Bertrange
3 : 2
FC Marisca Mersch
26 Jul
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1
FC Marisca Mersch
18 Jul
FC Marisca Mersch
2 : 2
Ettelbruck
09 Nov
Wiltz
6 : 0
FC Marisca Mersch
21 Sept
ALSS Luxembourg
2 : 4
FC Marisca Mersch
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Kopstal 33 0
Grevenmacher 2
Diekirch 0
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
US Sandweiler 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Jeunesse Junglinster 0
Wiltz 4
FF Norden 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Oberkorn 1
Lorentzweiler 4
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 0
UNA Strassen 5
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Fola 1
US Berdorf Consdorf 3
Rumelange 4
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Mertzig 1
FC Mamer 4
FC Schengen 1
Jeunesse Esch 5
Kehlen 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Steinfort 0
Bettembourg 1
Red Star Merl/Belair 3
Berdenia Berbourg 0
The Belval Belvaux 0
Hesperange 3
Lintgen 1
Hostert 3
Bissen 3
Union Titus Petange 5
ALSS Luxembourg 2
Avenir Beggen 1
CS Sanem 1
Racing Luxembourg 3
Union Remich/Bous 0
Schifflange 4
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Kaerjeng 5
Erpeldange 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Gasperich 0
Mondorf 4
Racing Troisvierges 1
Alisontia Steinsel 7
FC Orania Vianden 0
Ettelbruck 2
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 11
FC Koerich/Simmern 1
Koeppchen 3
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Mondercange 3
US Feulen 0
Dudelange 4
Luxembourg City 1
Differdange 3
1/16-finals
Grevenmacher 2
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
Jeunesse Canach 4
Wiltz 3
FF Norden 1
Lorentzweiler 0
UNA Strassen 4
Fola 3
Rumelange 4
FC Marisca Mersch 0
FC Mamer 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
FC Rodange 91 3
Bettembourg 4
Red Star Merl/Belair 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 2
Union Titus Petange 1
ALSS Luxembourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Schifflange 3
Kaerjeng 2
Erpeldange 1
Mondorf 8
Alisontia Steinsel 5
Ettelbruck 1
FC Residence Walferdange 3
Progres Niedercorn 5
Koeppchen 2
Mondercange 5
Dudelange 0
Differdange 2
1/8-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
FF Norden 1
UNA Strassen 2
Rumelange 0
Jeunesse Esch 5
Bettembourg 2
Hesperange 3
Hostert 1
Racing Luxembourg 0
Schifflange 1
Mondorf 2
Alisontia Steinsel 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
Mondercange 0
Differdange 3
Quarter-finals
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
UNA Strassen 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Hesperange 2
Hostert 1
Mondorf 2
Progres Niedercorn 2
Differdange 0
Semi-finals
UNA Strassen 0
Hesperange 2
Mondorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
Final
Hesperange 1
Progres Niedercorn 2