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Blooming vs Independiente

Bolivia Bolivia

Torneo Amistoso de Verano Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blooming play Independiente in the Torneo Amistoso de Verano. It looks like a close match. Recently, Blooming averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2 conceded. Independiente averaged 1.62 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Blooming won 4, Independiente won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Blooming and 1.88 for Independiente. This points to a Blooming double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Blooming
15%
Draws
38%
Independiente
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blooming

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Blooming picked up more points recently compared to Independiente.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Blooming Clean Sheet 10%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blooming Independiente
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.67 1.62
Goals Conceded 2 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Division Profesional
Independiente vs Blooming
3:1
Mar 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Blooming vs Independiente
1:0
Mar 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Independiente vs Blooming
0:4
Feb 21, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Independiente vs Blooming
1:5
Feb 12, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Blooming vs Independiente
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blooming Compare

Top Goalscorer Villarroel M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hinojosa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Independiente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blooming 44 / 100
Independiente 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blooming Independiente

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Blooming or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Blooming attacking → ← attacking Independiente

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blooming scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Independiente let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Blooming went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Independiente lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 36
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75