Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blumenau vs Hercilio Luz

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kauan
18'
Alvaro
85' Event
Igor Pimenta

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Blumenau and Hercilio Luz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercilio Luz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Blumenau
39%
Draws
30%
Hercilio Luz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Blumenau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Hercilio Luz have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 13%
Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Hercilio Luz
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Hercilio Luz
0:2
May 13, 2026 Catarinense 2
Hercilio Luz vs Blumenau
0:1
Oct 27, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Hercilio Luz
0:4
Sep 16, 2018 Copa Santa Catarina
Hercilio Luz vs Blumenau
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hercilio Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Igor Pimenta
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 31 / 100
Hercilio Luz 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Hercilio Luz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blumenau scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Hercilio Luz let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Blumenau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Hercilio Luz
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Blumenau

(Home)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
Page 1 of 7

Hercilio Luz

(Away)
25 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Hercilio Luz
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Hercilio Luz
1 : 0
Gremio Juventus
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz18133235:1042
2CA Metropolitano18122436:1838
3Caravaggio18105347:2035
4Blumenau1894535:1531
5Tubarao1865723:2123
6Guarani de Palhoca1865724:2423
7Nacao1856719:2621
8Fluminense-SC1863916:2521
9Gremio Juventus18521117:2617
10Jaragua-SC1801176:731
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)