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Blumenau vs Camboriu

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2 2025 Estádio do Sesi, Blumenau
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Jardel D.
28' Event
Jardeu
32' Event
Joao Vitor

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Camboriu advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Blumenau
20%
Draws
40%
Camboriu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Blumenau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Blumenau a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Blumenau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Camboriu, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Camboriu here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 68%
Camboriu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Camboriu
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.62 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Camboriu
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Catarinense 2
Camboriu vs Blumenau
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Camboriu
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 Catarinense 2
Camboriu vs Blumenau
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Jardel D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Camboriu Compare

Top Goalscorer Jardeu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Vitor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 59 / 100
Camboriu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Camboriu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blumenau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blumenau scored in 70% of their last 37 games.

Camboriu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Blumenau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Blumenau

(Home)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
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Camboriu

(Away)
07 Mar
Criciuma
4 : 2
Camboriu
04 Mar
Camboriu
1 : 0
Criciuma
28 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 0
Avai
21 Feb
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 0
Camboriu
15 Feb
Camboriu
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Blumenau -
TBD -
Gremio Juventus 2
Camboriu 3
Carlos Renaux -
TBD -
CA Metropolitano 2
Tubarao 0
Semi-finals
Blumenau 1
Camboriu 3
Carlos Renaux 3
CA Metropolitano 2
Final
Camboriu 1
Carlos Renaux 3