Sport Picks

Brazil

Catarinense 2

Blumenau

1 - 2

Caravaggio

Our Tip

Match Events

47'

Otavio

67'

Vinicius Jau

83'

Evaristo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Blumenau and Caravaggio finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Blumenau

28%

Draws

50%

Caravaggio

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Blumenau carry the better recent record into this one.
50% — that's where the model lands on Caravaggio taking it.
Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Blumenau Clean Sheet 10%

Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Blumenau	Caravaggio
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	14	13
Draws	6	5
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	1.75	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Catarinense 2

Blumenau vs Caravaggio

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Apr 29, 2026 Catarinense 2

Caravaggio vs Blumenau

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 3 - 0

1:3

Jun 16, 2024 Catarinense 2

Caravaggio vs Blumenau

Possession: 41% - 60% Cards: 4 - 1

3:1

Jun 26, 2022 Catarinense 2

Blumenau vs Caravaggio

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Jau

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Otavio

1 Goals

Assists Leader Evaristo

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 22 / 100

Caravaggio 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Blumenau Caravaggio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Blumenau scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Caravaggio conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Blumenau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Caravaggio

1.75 Goals Scored 2.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	15	11	2	2	31:9	35
2	CA Metropolitano	16	10	2	4	31:18	32
3	Caravaggio	16	9	4	3	44:19	31
4	Blumenau	15	8	3	4	31:12	27
5	Tubarao	15	6	5	4	22:15	23
6	Fluminense-SC	15	5	3	7	14:18	18
7	Nacao	16	4	6	6	16:24	18
8	Guarani de Palhoca	15	4	4	7	14:23	16
9	Gremio Juventus	15	4	2	9	13:21	14
10	Jaragua-SC	16	0	1	15	6:63	1