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Blyth Spartans vs Ilkeston Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

NPL Premier Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Deverdics N.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Wafula J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 game between Blyth Spartans and Ilkeston finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Blyth Spartans
15%
Draws
0%
Ilkeston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blyth Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ilkeston carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Blyth Spartans's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Blyth Spartans Clean Sheet 20%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blyth Spartans Ilkeston
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.22
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Blyth Spartans vs Ilkeston
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Blyth Spartans
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blyth Spartans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ilkeston Compare

Top Goalscorer Wafula J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blyth Spartans 76 / 100
Ilkeston 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blyth Spartans Ilkeston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blyth Spartans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilkeston has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Ilkeston registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Blyth Spartans's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Blyth Spartans VS Ilkeston
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.8 Goals Conceded 2.25
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Blyth Spartans

(Home)
26 Sept
Workington
4 : 2
Blyth Spartans
12 Sept
Wythenshawe FC
0 : 4
Blyth Spartans
05 Sept
Redcar Town
1 : 0
Blyth Spartans
29 Aug
Blyth Spartans
2 : 0
1874 Northwich
01 Aug
Blyth Spartans
2 : 4
Hebburn Town
Page 1 of 6

Ilkeston

(Away)
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1
Ilkeston
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1
Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Ilkeston
1 : 3
Anstey Nomads
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 42 35 4 3 109:30 109
2 Worksop 42 26 5 11 96:51 83
3 Stockton 42 23 6 13 66:47 75
4 Guiseley 42 20 14 8 67:45 74
5 Ashton United 42 20 9 13 72:58 69
6 Ilkeston 42 18 12 12 69:56 66
7 Gainsborough 42 18 10 14 58:53 64
8 Morpeth 42 16 14 12 57:61 62
9 Hyde 42 14 15 13 59:63 57
10 Prescot Cables 42 16 9 17 49:54 57
11 Warrington Rylands 42 14 14 14 60:53 56
12 Workington 42 15 7 20 61:65 52
13 Bamber Bridge 42 15 7 20 65:70 52
14 Hebburn Town 42 13 13 16 60:65 52
15 Leek Town 42 14 10 18 47:55 52
16 Whitby 42 15 7 20 55:71 52
17 United of Manchester 42 12 15 15 55:62 51
18 Lancaster 42 12 15 15 52:63 51
19 Matlock 42 10 15 17 59:69 42
20 Mickleover 42 10 9 23 41:75 39
21 Basford Utd. 42 10 7 25 50:79 37
22 Blyth Spartans 42 3 9 30 38:100 18
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)