Sport Picks

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Boa vs Caldense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lucas Lotto
33' Event
Mateus Goiano
45' Event
Allefe F.

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 game between Boa and Caldense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Boa
15%
Draws
0%
Caldense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Boa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Boa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Boa Clean Sheet 68%
Caldense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boa Caldense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 13
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.43 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Mineiro 2
Boa vs Caldense
3:1
Jun 7, 2026 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Boa
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 Mineiro 2
Boa vs Caldense
1:1
May 15, 2024 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Boa
0:0
Aug 21, 2021 Serie D
Caldense vs Boa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boa Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Lotto
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mateus Goiano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Caldense Compare

Top Goalscorer Allefe F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boa 95 / 100
Caldense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boa Caldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Caldense has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Boa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Caldense conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Boa VS Caldense
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boa

(Home)
26 Jul
Boa
1 : 1
Aymores
18 Jul
Aymores
2 : 0
Boa
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
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Caldense

(Away)
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Mamore
1 : 0
Caldense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)