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Stadium Background

Boa vs Nacional MG

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boa in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Boa
22%
Draws
18%
Nacional MG
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Boa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Boa have won more games recently than Nacional MG.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Boa taking it.
  • Boa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Boa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Boa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Boa Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional MG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boa Nacional MG
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2014 Mineiro
Boa vs Nacional MG
1:0
Feb 2, 2013 Mineiro
Boa vs Nacional MG
2:1
Apr 8, 2012 Mineiro
Nacional MG vs Boa
2:1
May 14, 2011 Mineiro 2
Nacional MG vs Boa
2:3
May 7, 2011 Mineiro 2
Boa vs Nacional MG
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boa 58 / 100
Nacional MG 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boa Nacional MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boa's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Nacional MG has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Boa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boa VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boa

(Home)
18 Jul
Aymores
2 : 0
Boa
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
28 Jun
Boa
0 : 0
Mamore
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Nacional MG

(Away)
16 Mar
Villa Nova AC
3 : 1
Nacional MG
09 Mar
Nacional MG
2 : 0
URT
05 Mar
Nacional MG
1 : 4
Cruzeiro
01 Mar
America MG
2 : 1
Nacional MG
25 Feb
Nacional MG
1 : 0
Tombense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Boa6
Nacional MG2