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Boavista da Praia vs Palmeira

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2025
Sat, Jun 21, 2025
0 - 1
04:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Penalty Missed
1' Event
(Penalty)
2' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Boavista da Praia host Palmeira in the Campeonato Nacional 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Palmeira have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while Boavista da Praia have conceded 1 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Boavista da Praia have won 0 to Palmeira's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.19) point toward Palmeira. Palmeira in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Boavista da Praia
40%
Draws
29%
Palmeira
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Palmeira has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Boavista da Praia.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Campeonato Nacional 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Boavista da Praia Clean Sheet 20%
Palmeira Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista da Praia Palmeira
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 5 11
Losses 4 1
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Campeonato Nacional
Palmeira vs Boavista da Praia
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Boavista da Praia vs Palmeira
0:1
May 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Palmeira vs Boavista da Praia
2:2
Jun 29, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Boavista da Praia vs Palmeira
0:0
Jun 23, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Palmeira vs Boavista da Praia
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista da Praia 32 / 100
Palmeira 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista da Praia Palmeira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boavista da Praia scored in 79% of their last 24 games.

Palmeira let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Boavista da Praia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Palmeira lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boavista da Praia VS Palmeira
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Boavista da Praia4
Paulense3
Palmeira1
Sanjoanenses0
Final
Boavista da Praia0
Palmeira1