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Boavista da Praia vs Ultramarina

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Pinheiro I.
86' Event
Rodrigues M.
90' Event
de Pina P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2025 game between Boavista da Praia and Ultramarina finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boavista da Praia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Boavista da Praia
6%
Draws
4%
Ultramarina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Boavista da Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Boavista da Praia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Boavista da Praia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Boavista da Praia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Boavista da Praia Clean Sheet 20%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista da Praia Ultramarina
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Boavista da Praia vs Ultramarina
3:0
May 26, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Boavista da Praia vs Ultramarina
3:0
May 19, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Boavista da Praia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista da Praia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinheiro I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ultramarina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista da Praia 85 / 100
Ultramarina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista da Praia Ultramarina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ultramarina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Boavista da Praia's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Boavista da Praia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boavista da Praia VS Ultramarina
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boavista da Praia641112:313
2Palmeira63309:412
3Sanjoanenses63306:212
4Paulense63219:511
5Mindelense624012:810
6Academica Praia62226:88
7Sport Sal-Rei61235:75
8Ultramarina61233:95
9Scorpion Vermelho60245:142
10Botafogo60151:81