Sport Picks
Boavista Sao Mateus vs Nelas Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2008/2009 
AI Match Summary
Boavista Sao Mateus in this Taça de Portugal 2008/2009 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nelas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nelas lately — more wins on the board than Boavista Sao Mateus.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Nelas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Boavista Sao Mateus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Boavista Sao Mateus Clean Sheet 14%
Nelas Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boavista Sao Mateus | Nelas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 | 9 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2008 Taça de Portugal
Boavista Sao Mateus vs Nelas
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boavista Sao Mateus 35 / 100
Nelas 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boavista Sao Mateus Nelas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nelas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Nelas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Boavista Sao Mateus scored in 38% of their last 8 games.
Nelas let in goals in 56% of their last 9 matches.
Scoring Trends
Boavista Sao Mateus VS Nelas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Boavista Sao Mateus
(Home) 28 Aug
Boavista Sao Mateus
0 : 1 Redondense
19 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
0 : 1 AD Pontassolense
05 Sept
Aljustrelense
1 : 2 Boavista Sao Mateus
30 Aug
U. Madeira
6 : 0 Boavista Sao Mateus
18 Oct
Boavista Sao Mateus
0 : 1 Naval
Page 1 of 2
28 Aug
Boavista Sao Mateus
0 : 1 Redondense
19 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
0 : 1 AD Pontassolense
18 Oct
Boavista Sao Mateus
0 : 1 Naval
14 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Lusitania FC
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
Nelas
(Away) 18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
Page 1 of 2
18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
30 Oct
Paredes
4 : 0 Nelas
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
C.F. Benfica -
TBD -
AD Satao 1
Rebordosa 2
Maritimo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sintrense 1
Juv. Evora 0
Vitoria FC Pico 2
Arouca 3
Esmoriz 3
Anadia 2
GD Tourizense 0
Atletico Cacem 1
FC Madalena -
TBD -
GD Prado 2
Maria de Fonte 3
Estoril -
TBD -
1º Dezembro 0
GD Braganca 2
Academico Viseu -
TBD -
TBD -
Vizela -
Portimonense -
TBD -
Electrico FC 1
FC Crato 2
Atletico CP 2
Sao Joao de Ver 0
SC Mirandela 1
Pinhalnovense 4
Covilha -
TBD -
Unhais da Serra 0
GD Milheiroense 2
FC Lixa 2
AD Oliveirense 1
TBD -
Varzim -
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mondinense -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Amares -
Boavista Sao Mateus 2
Nelas 1
SC Espinho 1
Lusitania FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
Valdevez 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
TBD -
Oliveirense -
Messinense 2
SC Praiense 1
TBD -
Olhanense -
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Louletano -
TBD -
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
AD Valecambrense 1
JS Campinense 2
Vieira 1
Oliveira do Douro 0
Moreirense 0
Camacha 1
Freamunde -
TBD -
SC Vianense 0
Merelinense 1
Fiaes 2
Lusitano GC 1
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Trofense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real SC 2
Macedo de Cavaleiros 0
Capelense SC 0
Aliados Lordelo 2
Sanjoanense 2
Maritimo SC 1
Futebol Clube da Maia 0
Cova De Piedade 3
Padroense 3
Vilaverdense FC 0
TBD -
Gondomar -
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lagoa -
TBD -
Leca 1
Chaves 3
SC Angrense 1
CDR Quarteirense 0
TBD -
SC Lusitania -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres -
TBD -
FC Barreirense 1
Operario 3
Torreense -
TBD -
AD Pontassolense 3
Oliv. Bairro 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
Beira Mar -
TBD -
Vigor Mocidade 3
AD Limianos 4
Caldas SC -
TBD -
CD Lousanense 1
Atletico SC 4
Fabril do Barreiro 2
FC Pampilhosa 1
TBD -
CD Portosantense -
Tirsense 2
Penalva do Castelo 1
Monsanto 2
Olivais e Moscavide 3
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Joane 3
SC Pombal 0
Amarante FC 1
Ribeirao 2
GD Peniche 3
AD Fafe 2
AA Avanca 0
GD Sourense 2
Serzedelo 2
SC Vilanovense 1
SC Farense 0
Torre De Moncorvo 2
Boavista -
TBD -
SB Castelo Branco 0
O Elvas CAD 2
Infesta 4
Machico 3
CD Torres Novas 0
AD Lousada 1
Uniao Lamas 1
Aljustrelense 0
Marinhense 2
CD Rabo Peixe 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Leixoes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vila Mea -
TBD -
Beira Mar Algarve 0
CF Canical 3
Odivelas FC 5
FC Alpendorada 0
TBD -
Marinhas -
SL Cartaxo 2
Tondela 1
Atalaia do Campo 1
Santana 2
Aves -
TBD -
Igreja Nova 1
AD Penamacorense 2
FC Mae d'Agua 1
Pescadores Caparica 0
Camara de Lobos 1
UD Gandara 3
Penafiel 3
Casa Pia 0
CU Micaelense 0
SC Vila Real 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
Cinfaes -
TBD -
Agueda 0
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Abrantes -
TBD -
UD Rio Maior 0
Paredes 1
Feirense -
TBD -
Silves FC 0
Oriental 1
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Fatima -
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carregado 3
Castrense 2
TBD -
Leiria -
Sertanense 1
Tocha 0
CF Fao 1
Mafra 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Porto -
1/64-finals
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
C.F. Benfica 0
Rebordosa 1
Maritimo -
TBD -
Sintrense 0
Arouca 1
Esmoriz 2
Atletico Cacem 0
FC Madalena 2
Maria de Fonte 3
Estoril 1
GD Braganca 0
Academico Viseu 1
Vizela 2
Portimonense 3
FC Crato 2
Atletico CP 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Covilha 3
GD Milheiroense 0
FC Lixa 0
Varzim 7
BSAD -
TBD -
Mondinense 1
FC Amares 3
Boavista Sao Mateus 2
Lusitania FC 1
TBD -
Naval -
Valdevez 2
Oliveirense 1
Messinense 0
Olhanense 4
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Louletano 0
Gil Vicente 1
U. Madeira 3
JS Campinense 1
Vieira 0
Camacha 1
Freamunde 1
Merelinense 0
Fiaes 0
Santa Clara 1
Trofense -
TBD -
Real SC 0
Aliados Lordelo 1
Sanjoanense 1
Cova De Piedade 0
Padroense 0
Gondomar 3
Braga -
TBD -
Lagoa 0
Chaves 2
SC Angrense 3
SC Lusitania 0
TBD -
Nacional -
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 1
Operario 2
Torreense 3
Oliv. Bairro 0
TBD -
Academica -
Beira Mar 3
AD Limianos 1
Caldas SC 0
Atletico SC 2
Fabril do Barreiro 1
CD Portosantense 0
Tirsense 0
Olivais e Moscavide 1
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
GD Joane 1
Ribeirao 2
GD Peniche 5
GD Sourense 0
Serzedelo 1
Torre De Moncorvo 3
Boavista 2
O Elvas CAD 0
Infesta 0
AD Lousada 2
Uniao Lamas 4
CD Rabo Peixe 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Leixoes -
TBD -
Vila Mea 0
CF Canical 5
Odivelas FC 5
Marinhas 2
SL Cartaxo 0
Santana 7
Aves 3
AD Penamacorense 0
FC Mae d'Agua 2
UD Gandara 3
Penafiel 3
SC Vila Real 0
TBD -
Benfica -
Cinfaes 2
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Abrantes 0
Paredes 3
Feirense 1
Oriental 0
Coimbroes 1
Fatima 2
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Carregado 0
Leiria 3
Sertanense 3
Mafra 2
TBD -
FC Porto -
1/32-finals
Pacos Ferreira 3
Rebordosa 0
Maritimo 0
Arouca 1
Esmoriz 4
Maria de Fonte 3
Estoril 0
Vizela 3
Portimonense 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Covilha 1
Varzim 2
BSAD 3
FC Amares 0
Boavista Sao Mateus 0
Naval 1
Valdevez 2
Olhanense 1
Rio Ave 2
Gil Vicente 3
U. Madeira 2
Camacha 1
Freamunde 0
Santa Clara 1
Trofense 1
Aliados Lordelo 0
Sanjoanense 1
Gondomar 2
Braga 1
Chaves 0
SC Angrense 0
Nacional 4
Estrela da Amadora 2
Operario 0
Torreense 0
Academica 2
Beira Mar 3
Atletico SC 0
Fabril do Barreiro 0
Olivais e Moscavide 1
Vitoria Setubal 1
Ribeirao 0
GD Peniche 1
Torre De Moncorvo 3
Boavista 1
AD Lousada 0
Uniao Lamas 2
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
Leixoes 4
CF Canical 1
Odivelas FC 0
Santana 1
Aves 6
UD Gandara 1
Penafiel 0
Benfica 1
Cinfaes 2
Paredes 1
Feirense 1
Fatima 2
Sporting CP 1
Leiria 0
Sertanense 0
FC Porto 4
1/16-finals
Pacos Ferreira 1
Arouca 0
Esmoriz 1
Vizela 3
Portimonense 3
Varzim 0
BSAD 2
Naval 3
Valdevez 1
Gil Vicente 0
U. Madeira 0
Santa Clara 2
Trofense 2
Gondomar 0
Braga 0
Nacional 1
Estrela da Amadora 1
Academica 0
Beira Mar 0
Olivais e Moscavide 2
Vitoria Setubal 4
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Boavista 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Leixoes 3
Santana 0
Aves 0
Benfica 3
Cinfaes 1
Fatima 0
Sporting CP 1
FC Porto 2
1/8-finals
Pacos Ferreira 4
Vizela 1
Portimonense 0
Naval 3
Valdevez 3
Santa Clara 1
Trofense 2
Nacional 4
Estrela da Amadora 1
Olivais e Moscavide 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Leixoes 1
Benfica 0
Cinfaes 1
FC Porto 4
Quarter-finals
Pacos Ferreira 5
Naval 3
Valdevez 1
Nacional 2
Estrela da Amadora 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Leixoes 0
FC Porto 1
Semi-finals
Pacos Ferreira 5
Nacional 4
Estrela da Amadora 2
FC Porto 3
Final
Pacos Ferreira 0
FC Porto 1
