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Boavista U20 vs Bangu U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Cadu
45' Event
Oliveira W.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 2025 game between Boavista U20 and Bangu U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Boavista U20
20%
Draws
40%
Bangu U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bangu U20 come out ahead of Boavista U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Boavista U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Bangu U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista U20 Bangu U20
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Bangu U20 vs Boavista U20
3:0
Aug 9, 2025 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Bangu U20
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Copa Rio U20
Bangu U20 vs Boavista U20
0:3
Aug 31, 2024 Carioca U20
Bangu U20 vs Boavista U20
1:1
Mar 4, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Boavista U20 vs Bangu U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bangu U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cadu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista U20 30 / 100
Bangu U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista U20 Bangu U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boavista U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boavista U20 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Bangu U20 conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Boavista U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boavista U20 VS Bangu U20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista U20

(Home)
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
13 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
1 : 2
Boavista U20
09 Sept
Vasco U20
2 : 1
Boavista U20
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Bangu U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Bangu U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
26 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
0 : 3
Bangu U20
19 Sept
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Marica U20
12 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Bangu U20
04 Sept
Bangu U20
0 : 3
Flamengo RJ U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco U20 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 11 8 1 2 27:9 25
3 Botafogo RJ U20 11 6 1 4 19:12 19
4 Fluminense U20 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
5 Volta Redonda U20 11 5 2 4 14:24 17
6 Bangu U20 11 4 3 4 10:14 15
7 Marica U20 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
8 Portuguesa RJ U20 11 4 1 6 12:10 13
9 Sampaio Correa FE U20 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
10 Madureira U20 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
11 Nova Iguacu U20 11 2 2 7 9:17 8
12 Boavista U20 11 1 2 8 10:20 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 2025 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)