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Boavista U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Carioca U20 2025
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Match Events

7' Event
Pedro Cantarin
45' Event
Pedro Cantarin
60' Event
Kayck

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 2025 game between Boavista U20 and Sampaio Correa FE U20 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Boavista U20
20%
Draws
29%
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boavista U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Boavista U20 have managed 1 goals a game lately — Sampaio Correa FE U20 are scoring more at 1.07.
  • Win probability leans Boavista U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Boavista U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Sampaio Correa FE U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Carioca U20
Sampaio Correa FE U20 vs Boavista U20
3:1
Sep 12, 2025 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
2:2
Jul 6, 2024 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
1:0
Mar 27, 2024 Copa Rio U20
Boavista U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Cantarin
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sampaio Correa FE U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayck
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martins G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista U20 84 / 100
Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista U20 Sampaio Correa FE U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boavista U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sampaio Correa FE U20 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Boavista U20 scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Boavista U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boavista U20 VS Sampaio Correa FE U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista U20

(Home)
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
13 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
1 : 2
Boavista U20
09 Sept
Vasco U20
2 : 1
Boavista U20
05 Sept
Boavista U20
2 : 2
Marica U20
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Sampaio Correa FE U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Flamengo RJ U20
3 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
19 Sept
Fluminense U20
5 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE U20
12 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Nova Iguacu U20
04 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco U20 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 11 8 1 2 27:9 25
3 Botafogo RJ U20 11 6 1 4 19:12 19
4 Fluminense U20 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
5 Volta Redonda U20 11 5 2 4 14:24 17
6 Bangu U20 11 4 3 4 10:14 15
7 Marica U20 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
8 Portuguesa RJ U20 11 4 1 6 12:10 13
9 Sampaio Correa FE U20 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
10 Madureira U20 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
11 Nova Iguacu U20 11 2 2 7 9:17 8
12 Boavista U20 11 1 2 8 10:20 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 2025 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)