Sport Picks

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Boavista vs Sporting CP

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2024/2025 Estádio do Bessa Século XXI, Porto
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gyökeres V.
Assist: Araujo M.
42'
van Ginkel M.
44'
Goncalves P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2024/2025 game between Boavista and Sporting CP finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting CP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Boavista
15%
Draws
58%
Sporting CP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting CP carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sporting CP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sporting CP have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Boavista Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista Sporting CP
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 23
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 0.7 2.49
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Sporting CP
0:5
Dec 14, 2024 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Boavista
3:2
Mar 17, 2024 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Boavista
6:1
Oct 30, 2023 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Sporting CP
0:2
Mar 12, 2023 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Boavista
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Sporting CP Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyökeres V.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista 10 / 100
Sporting CP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista Sporting CP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Sporting CP conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Boavista found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Boavista has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sporting CP
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista

(Home)
17 May
Arouca
4 : 1
Boavista
11 May
Boavista
1 : 2
FC Porto
05 May
AFS
1 : 2
Boavista
27 Apr
Boavista
0 : 5
Sporting CP
18 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1
Boavista
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Sporting CP

(Away)
14 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes
08 Aug
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Sporting CP
31 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1
Nottingham
25 Jul
Sporting CP
2 : 0
Monaco
20 Jul
Sporting CP
7 : 0
Strasbourg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 88:27 82
2 Benfica 34 25 5 4 84:28 80
3 FC Porto 34 22 5 7 65:30 71
4 Braga 34 19 9 6 55:30 66
5 Santa Clara 34 17 6 11 36:32 57
6 Vitoria Guimaraes 34 14 12 8 47:37 54
7 Famalicao 34 12 11 11 44:39 47
8 Estoril 34 12 10 12 48:53 46
9 Casa Pia 34 12 9 13 39:44 45
10 Moreirense 34 10 10 14 42:50 40
11 Rio Ave 34 9 11 14 39:55 38
12 Arouca 34 9 11 14 35:49 38
13 Gil Vicente 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 32:50 34
15 Estrela da Amadora 34 7 8 19 24:50 29
16 AFS 34 5 12 17 25:60 27
17 SC Farense 34 6 9 19 25:46 27
18 Boavista 34 6 6 22 24:59 24
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Main)