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Boavista vs Tondela

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Roberto
22' Event
Bozenik R.
44' Event
Xavier

AI Match Summary

Tondela in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tondela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Boavista
6%
Draws
90%
Tondela
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tondela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tondela have won more games recently than Boavista.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tondela taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Boavista Clean Sheet 20%
Tondela Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista Tondela
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2024 Club Friendly
Boavista vs Tondela
2:3
May 14, 2022 Liga Portugal
Tondela vs Boavista
2:2
Jan 8, 2022 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Tondela
1:1
May 7, 2021 Liga Portugal
Boavista vs Tondela
1:1
Jan 16, 2021 Liga Portugal
Tondela vs Boavista
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista Compare

Top Goalscorer Bozenik R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tondela Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberto
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xavier
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista 10 / 100
Tondela 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista Tondela

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Tondela conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Boavista's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Boavista stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tondela
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%