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Boca Junior vs America de Pedrinhas

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Boca Junior
15%
Draws
85%
America de Pedrinhas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America de Pedrinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • America de Pedrinhas have won more games recently than Boca Junior.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on America de Pedrinhas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Boca Junior Clean Sheet 10%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boca Junior America de Pedrinhas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.06 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Sergipano 2
America de Pedrinhas vs Boca Junior
1:0
Oct 16, 2024 Sergipano 2
Boca Junior vs America de Pedrinhas
2:2
May 1, 2021 Sergipano
America de Pedrinhas vs Boca Junior
0:3
Mar 21, 2021 Sergipano
Boca Junior vs America de Pedrinhas
2:0
Feb 15, 2020 Sergipano
Boca Junior vs America de Pedrinhas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boca Junior 10 / 100
America de Pedrinhas 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boca Junior America de Pedrinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America de Pedrinhas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Pedrinhas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: America de Pedrinhas registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Boca Junior found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Boca Junior VS America de Pedrinhas
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boca Junior

(Home)
01 Nov
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Olimpico EC
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Atletico Gloriense
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1
Boca Junior
Page 1 of 7

America de Pedrinhas

(Away)
02 Nov
Desportiva Aracaju
4 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Olimpico EC
1 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 5 4 1 0 14:2 13
2 America de Pedrinhas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
3 Desportiva Aracaju 5 4 0 1 16:5 12
4 Frei Paulistano 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
5 Flamengo SE 5 0 1 4 3:16 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra SE 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
2 Atletico Central 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
3 Independente SE 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
4 Boca Junior 5 1 1 3 7:12 4
5 Caninde 5 1 0 4 8:20 3
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)