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Boca Junior vs Estanciano EC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Boca Junior and Estanciano EC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boca Junior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Boca Junior
15%
Draws
85%
Estanciano EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estanciano EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estanciano EC come out ahead of Boca Junior on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Estanciano EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Boca Junior here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Boca Junior Clean Sheet 10%
Estanciano EC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boca Junior Estanciano EC
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 8 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 Sergipano 2
Boca Junior vs Estanciano EC
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 Sergipano 2
Estanciano EC vs Boca Junior
1:2
Jan 15, 2017 Sergipano
Estanciano EC vs Boca Junior
1:1
Apr 9, 2016 Sergipano
Boca Junior vs Estanciano EC
2:1
Apr 2, 2016 Sergipano
Estanciano EC vs Boca Junior
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boca Junior 10 / 100
Estanciano EC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boca Junior Estanciano EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estanciano EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Boca Junior scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Estanciano EC conceded in 58% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Boca Junior VS Estanciano EC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Boca Junior

(Home)
01 Nov
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Olimpico EC
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Atletico Gloriense
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1
Boca Junior
Page 1 of 7

Estanciano EC

(Away)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)