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Stadium Background

Boca Juniors de Cali vs Orsomarso

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ortiz H.
29'
Caicedo J.
46'
Sub
Mosquera L. In: Parra J.
Out: Mosquera L.

AI Match Summary

Boca Juniors de Cali host Orsomarso in the Primera B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Boca Juniors de Cali have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Orsomarso's 1 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Boca Juniors de Cali slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.06) back Boca Juniors de Cali to edge this. Boca Juniors de Cali in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Boca Juniors de Cali
28%
Draws
22%
Orsomarso
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Boca Juniors de Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Boca Juniors de Cali has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Orsomarso.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Boca Juniors de Cali.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera B provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Boca Juniors de Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boca Juniors de Cali Orsomarso
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Orsomarso
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Boca Juniors de Cali
0:3
Apr 23, 2025 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Orsomarso
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Orsomarso
0:0
Apr 26, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Boca Juniors de Cali
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boca Juniors de Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hurtado K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Orsomarso Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boca Juniors de Cali 59 / 100
Orsomarso 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boca Juniors de Cali Orsomarso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boca Juniors de Cali scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Orsomarso let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Boca Juniors de Cali went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Orsomarso lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boca Juniors de Cali VS Orsomarso
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237