Sport Picks
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Patriotas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali 
Match Events
5'
5'
Cortes D.
9'
9'
Cortes D.
11'
11'
Cortes D.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Boca Juniors de Cali and Patriotas finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boca Juniors de Cali.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boca Juniors de Cali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Boca Juniors de Cali carry the better recent record into this one.
- Boca Juniors de Cali are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Boca Juniors de Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boca Juniors de Cali | Patriotas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Patriotas
4:1
Mar 21, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Boca Juniors de Cali
3:3
Nov 15, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Boca Juniors de Cali
1:0
Nov 12, 2025 Primera B
Boca Juniors de Cali vs Patriotas
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Boca Juniors de Cali
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boca Juniors de Cali Compare
Top Goalscorer Cortes D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Aponza J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Patriotas Compare
Top Goalscorer Riuz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boca Juniors de Cali 86 / 100
Patriotas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boca Juniors de Cali Patriotas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boca Juniors de Cali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Boca Juniors de Cali scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Boca Juniors de Cali went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Patriotas conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Boca Juniors de Cali VS Patriotas
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Boca Juniors de Cali
(Home) 07 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1 Union Magdalena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3 Boca Juniors de Cali
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2 Boca Juniors de Cali
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0 Real Santander
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1 Union Magdalena
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0 Real Santander
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2 Envigado
25 Aug
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 2 Bogota
Page 1 of 3
Patriotas
(Away) 03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2 Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2 Patriotas
29 Aug
Real Cundinamarca
4 : 1 Patriotas
31 Jul
Real Santander
2 : 2 Patriotas
20 May
Llaneros
3 : 1 Patriotas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico F.C. | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Inter Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Bogota | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:17 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
