Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Leoncio Benitez

Boca Unidos

2 - 0

Sarmiento Resistencia

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Fernandez K.

36'

Sub

Ayala M. In: Duarte D.

Out: Ayala M.

46'

Sub

Mbombaj G. In: Villanueva T.

Out: Mbombaj G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Boca Unidos in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boca Unidos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Boca Unidos

11%

Draws

Sarmiento Resistencia

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Boca Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Boca Unidos have won more games recently than Sarmiento Resistencia.
80% — that's where the model lands on Boca Unidos taking it.
Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Boca Unidos Clean Sheet 68%

Sarmiento Resistencia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Boca Unidos	Sarmiento Resistencia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	9
Draws	6	8
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.13	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Torneo Federal

Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento Resistencia

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

May 3, 2026 Torneo Federal

Sarmiento Resistencia vs Boca Unidos

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Aug 16, 2025 Torneo Federal

Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento Resistencia

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

May 18, 2025 Torneo Federal

Boca Unidos vs Sarmiento Resistencia

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Mar 16, 2025 Torneo Federal

Sarmiento Resistencia vs Boca Unidos

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boca Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Alfano A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sarmiento Resistencia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boca Unidos 86 / 100

Sarmiento Resistencia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Boca Unidos Sarmiento Resistencia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sarmiento Resistencia conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Boca Unidos found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Sarmiento Resistencia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boca Unidos VS Sarmiento Resistencia

1.13 Goals Scored 0.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	17	7	8	2	19:7	29
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15:10	26
4	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	17	7	5	5	22:18	26
5	9 de Julio Rafaela	17	7	4	6	27:25	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11:12	23
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14:21	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	17	4	5	8	12:17	17
10	El Linqueno	17	4	4	9	13:21	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	15	8	3	4	24:19	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	15	7	5	3	13:6	26
3	Sol de America	15	8	2	5	18:12	26
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	15	7	3	5	16:14	24
5	Juventud Antoniana	15	6	4	5	16:11	22
6	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	19
7	Boca Unidos	15	5	3	7	19:22	18
8	Tucuman Central	15	5	1	9	13:18	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	15	5	7	3	15:11	22
3	Biblioteca Atenas	15	6	4	5	12:13	22
4	Huracan Las Heras	15	6	4	5	11:13	22
5	Fundacion Amigos	15	4	8	3	17:14	20
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	15	4	6	5	10:14	18
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	15	4	4	7	12:16	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	15	7	7	1	11:4	28
2	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
3	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
4	Villa Mitre	15	5	7	3	11:5	22
5	Germinal	15	4	6	5	7:12	18
6	Sol de Mayo	15	4	5	6	12:15	17
7	Guillermo Brown	15	3	5	7	11:20	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	15	2	6	7	7:15	12