Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bocholt vs SSVg Velbert

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Frey M.
68' Event
Wiese M.
71' Event
Euschen C.

AI Match Summary

Bocholt in this Regionalliga West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bocholt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bocholt
20%
Draws
22%
SSVg Velbert
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bocholt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bocholt lately — more wins on the board than SSVg Velbert.
  • Bocholt are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Regionalliga West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bocholt Clean Sheet 17%
SSVg Velbert Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bocholt SSVg Velbert
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.57 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Regionalliga West
Bocholt vs SSVg Velbert
2:1
Sep 25, 2025 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Bocholt
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 Regionalliga West
Bocholt vs SSVg Velbert
4:1
Sep 16, 2023 Regionalliga West
SSVg Velbert vs Bocholt
1:1
Jan 18, 2023 Club Friendly
SSVg Velbert vs Bocholt
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bocholt Compare

Top Goalscorer Frey M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Euschen C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

SSVg Velbert Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiese M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bocholt 75 / 100
SSVg Velbert 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bocholt SSVg Velbert

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SSVg Velbert let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Bocholt's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bocholt stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bocholt VS SSVg Velbert
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bocholt

(Home)
08 Aug
Bocholt
4 : 5
Schalke II
01 Aug
Hilden
0 : 0
Bocholt
18 Jul
Schermbeck 2020
2 : 2
Bocholt
11 Jul
SV Biemenhorst
0 : 6
Bocholt
10 Jul
Bocholt
4 : 0
TuS Hordel
Page 1 of 6

SSVg Velbert

(Away)
12 Jul
Sprockhovel
2 : 6
SSVg Velbert
05 Jul
Bergisch Gladbach
2 : 1
SSVg Velbert
16 May
Siegen
3 : 1
SSVg Velbert
08 May
SSVg Velbert
1 : 3
Paderborn II
02 May
Wiedenbruck
1 : 0
SSVg Velbert
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortuna Koln 34 20 10 4 71:30 70
2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 34 19 9 6 60:40 66
3 Schalke II 34 18 7 9 77:50 61
4 Gutersloh 34 16 11 7 55:40 59
5 Dortmund II 34 16 10 8 66:50 58
6 B. Monchengladbach II 34 17 7 10 61:46 58
7 Siegen 34 14 12 8 62:43 54
8 Paderborn II 34 12 10 12 52:38 46
9 Bonner 34 12 10 12 38:42 46
10 Koln II 34 13 6 15 55:63 45
11 Lotte 34 11 12 11 45:55 45
12 Dusseldorf II 34 11 7 16 47:58 40
13 Bocholt 34 10 9 15 49:57 39
14 Bochum II 34 9 12 13 50:62 39
15 Rodinghausen 34 7 8 19 46:63 29
16 Wiedenbruck 34 7 8 19 39:65 29
17 Wuppertaler 34 5 11 18 36:70 26
18 SSVg Velbert 34 6 7 21 35:72 25
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)