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Boden City vs Skelleftea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Toro H.
77'
Monteiro B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2025 game between Boden City and Skelleftea finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skelleftea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Boden City
30%
Draws
29%
Skelleftea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boden City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Boden City haven't matched Skelleftea's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Boden City's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Boden City Clean Sheet 14%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden City Skelleftea
Matches Played 24 35
Wins 5 19
Draws 5 11
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden City vs Skelleftea
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Boden City
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boden City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Toro H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden City 66 / 100
Skelleftea 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden City Skelleftea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boden City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Boden City scored in 71% of their last 24 games.

Defensive concern: Skelleftea conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Boden City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Skelleftea
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boden City

(Home)
18 Oct
Boden
1 : 3
Boden City
15 Oct
Boden City
0 : 1
Taftea IK
11 Oct
Friska Viljor
2 : 3
Boden City
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
27 Sept
Lucksta IF
3 : 1
Boden City
Page 1 of 5

Skelleftea

(Away)
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Skelleftea
1 : 2
Taftea IK
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2
Boden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitea 12 9 2 1 32:12 29
2 Skelleftea 12 7 2 3 24:16 23
3 IFK Lulea 12 6 4 2 21:11 22
4 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 4 5 12:20 13
5 Boden 12 3 3 6 10:20 12
6 Kiruna 12 1 5 6 13:23 8
7 Boden City 12 1 4 7 12:22 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IFK Ostersund 12 9 1 2 39:18 28
2 Umea FC Akademi 12 8 0 4 32:19 24
3 Kubikenborgs 12 7 0 5 20:22 21
4 Gottne IF 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
5 Friska Viljor 12 5 0 7 24:25 15
6 Lucksta IF 12 3 1 8 19:30 10
7 Taftea IK 12 2 3 7 11:28 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)