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Boden vs Boden City

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bello M.
50' Event
Bello M.
70' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2025 game between Boden and Boden City finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boden City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Boden
15%
Draws
59%
Boden City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boden City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Boden come out ahead of Boden City on wins alone.
  • Model gives Boden City a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Boden Clean Sheet 20%
Boden City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden Boden City
Matches Played 39 24
Wins 16 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Boden City
1:3
Sep 7, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden City vs Boden
3:2
Jun 19, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden City vs Boden
1:1
May 14, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Boden City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boden Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Boden City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bello M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diop S. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden 10 / 100
Boden City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden Boden City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boden City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boden found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (39 games).

Boden City let in goals in 88% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Boden has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boden VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boden

(Home)
26 Sept
IFK Ostersund
2 : 0
Boden
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2
Kubikenborgs
Page 1 of 8

Boden City

(Away)
18 Oct
Boden
1 : 3
Boden City
15 Oct
Boden City
0 : 1
Taftea IK
11 Oct
Friska Viljor
2 : 3
Boden City
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
27 Sept
Lucksta IF
3 : 1
Boden City
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 12 8 0 4 33:27 28
2 Boden 12 6 1 5 21:22 23
3 Taftea IK 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Lucksta IF 12 6 0 6 23:23 20
5 Kiruna 12 4 3 5 19:19 17
6 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 2 7 24:30 17
7 Boden City 12 4 1 7 18:24 13
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)