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Boden vs IFK Lulea Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Boden Logo

Boden

1 - 0
FT
IFK Lulea Logo

IFK Lulea

Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Bello M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Boden and IFK Lulea finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Boden
15%
Draws
68%
IFK Lulea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • IFK Lulea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives IFK Lulea a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Boden Clean Sheet 14%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden IFK Lulea
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.25 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Lulea
1:0
Aug 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
0:1
Jun 22, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Lulea
1:4
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
1:1
Jun 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Bello M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

IFK Lulea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden 10 / 100
IFK Lulea 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden IFK Lulea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Lulea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boden scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

IFK Lulea let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Boden remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Boden VS IFK Lulea
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boden

(Home)
26 Sept
IFK Ostersund
2 : 0
Boden
19 Sept
Boden
0 : 2
Skelleftea
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2
Kubikenborgs
Page 1 of 6

IFK Lulea

(Away)
26 Sept
Kubikenborgs
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2
IFK Lulea
05 Sept
IFK Lulea
2 : 1
Taftea IK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 11 8 0 3 27:13 47
2 IFK Lulea 11 7 0 4 16:14 46
3 Skelleftea 11 5 3 3 19:18 45
4 Taftea IK 11 5 0 6 19:22 40
5 IFK Ostersund 11 6 2 3 28:16 37
6 Gottne IF 11 2 2 7 16:23 31
7 Boden 11 4 2 5 13:22 31
8 Lucksta IF 11 2 1 8 14:24 25
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)