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Stadium Background

Boden vs IFK Lulea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Eriksson V.
27' Event
Nordell W.
50' Event
Bergman H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Boden and IFK Lulea finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Lulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Boden
20%
Draws
51%
IFK Lulea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • IFK Lulea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives IFK Lulea a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Boden Clean Sheet 16%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden IFK Lulea
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 19
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
0:1
Jun 22, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Lulea
1:4
May 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
1:1
Jun 25, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Boden
1:1
May 19, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs IFK Lulea
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Dugas K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksson V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nordell W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden 19 / 100
IFK Lulea 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden IFK Lulea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Lulea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Boden scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

IFK Lulea let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Boden stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boden VS IFK Lulea
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Boden

(Home)
12 Sept
Kubikenborgs
6 : 1
Boden
05 Sept
Boden
1 : 2
Kubikenborgs
29 Aug
Skelleftea
2 : 2
Boden
22 Aug
Boden
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
15 Aug
Boden
3 : 2
Gottne IF
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IFK Lulea

(Away)
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2
IFK Lulea
05 Sept
IFK Lulea
2 : 1
Taftea IK
30 Aug
Lucksta IF
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
22 Aug
IFK Lulea
1 : 3
Kubikenborgs
15 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 1
IFK Lulea
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)