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Stadium Background

Boden vs Skelleftea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Toro H.
85' Event
Amine Hejai S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Boden and Skelleftea finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Boden
15%
Draws
51%
Skelleftea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skelleftea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Boden haven't matched Skelleftea's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Skelleftea's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Boden Clean Sheet 11%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden Skelleftea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.52 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Skelleftea
1:1
May 6, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Boden
2:0
May 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Skelleftea vs Boden
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Skelleftea
0:1
Sep 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Skelleftea
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Amine Hejai S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Skelleftea Compare

Top Goalscorer Toro H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden 10 / 100
Skelleftea 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden Skelleftea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skelleftea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boden's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Boden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Skelleftea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Boden VS Skelleftea
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boden

(Home)
15 Aug
Boden
3 : 2
Gottne IF
12 Aug
IFK Lulea
0 : 1
Boden
08 Aug
Boden
2 : 1
Taftea IK
01 Aug
Lucksta IF
3 : 0
Boden
27 Jun
Taftea IK
1 : 1
Boden
Page 1 of 6

Skelleftea

(Away)
15 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 1
IFK Lulea
12 Aug
Taftea IK
0 : 2
Skelleftea
08 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 0
Lucksta IF
01 Aug
Kubikenborgs
1 : 2
Skelleftea
27 Jun
IFK Lulea
0 : 1
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)