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Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bodo/Glimt host Valerenga in the Eliteserien. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Bodo/Glimt at 2.78 goals for, 1.19 against; Valerenga at 2 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Bodo/Glimt have won 4 to Valerenga's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.38 - 2.19) back Bodo/Glimt to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bodo/Glimt
20%
Draws
29%
Valerenga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bodo/Glimt lately — more wins on the board than Valerenga.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Bodo/Glimt taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Bodo/Glimt here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodo/Glimt Valerenga
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 25 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.78 2
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Eliteserien
Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga
7:2
Sep 28, 2023 NM Cup
Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt
2:4
Sep 24, 2023 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodo/Glimt 56 / 100
Valerenga 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodo/Glimt Valerenga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bodo/Glimt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bodo/Glimt's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Valerenga has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Solid form: Bodo/Glimt remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bodo/Glimt VS Valerenga
2.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodo/Glimt

(Home)
01 Oct
Rana FK
2 : 6
Bodo/Glimt
20 Sept
Brann
2 : 1
Bodo/Glimt
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0
Bodo/Glimt
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
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Valerenga

(Away)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
17 Sept
Skeid
1 : 4
Valerenga
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2
Valerenga
30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4
Molde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 22 17 2 3 56:20 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 22 9 2 11 39:34 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)