Sport Picks

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Bodrumspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Bodrum İlçe Stadı, Bodrum
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fettahoglu M.
30'
Fettahoglu M.
38'
Yumlu M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bodrumspor
39%
Draws
30%
Erzurumspor FK
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Erzurumspor FK have won more games recently than Bodrumspor.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bodrumspor Clean Sheet 22%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodrumspor Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 12 22
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 1. Lig
Bodrumspor vs Erzurumspor FK
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Bodrumspor
2:2
Jan 20, 2024 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Bodrumspor
1:0
Aug 19, 2023 1. Lig
Bodrumspor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:0
Mar 26, 2023 1. Lig
Bodrumspor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bodrumspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Habesoglu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Fettahoglu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodrumspor 32 / 100
Erzurumspor FK 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodrumspor Erzurumspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ERZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bodrumspor's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Bodrumspor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Erzurumspor FK let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bodrumspor VS Erzurumspor FK
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodrumspor

(Home)
15 May
Corum FK
2 : 0
Bodrumspor
11 May
Bodrumspor
1 : 0
Corum FK
07 May
Bodrumspor
2 : 0
Pendikspor
02 May
Bodrumspor
0 : 1
Sariyer
26 Apr
Amedspor
1 : 1
Bodrumspor
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Erzurumspor FK

(Away)
23 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
3 : 1
Al Arabi (Kuwait)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0
Rizespor
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)