Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boeung Ket vs Moi Kompong Dewa

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL 2025/2026 National Olympic Stadium, Phnom Penh
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Bevan M.
Assist: Sath R.
13'
Mon R.
23'
San B.

AI Match Summary

Boeung Ket in this CPL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boeung Ket.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Boeung Ket
20%
Draws
29%
Moi Kompong Dewa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boeung Ket

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Boeung Ket have won more games recently than Moi Kompong Dewa.
  • Win probability leans Boeung Ket's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular CPL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Boeung Ket Clean Sheet 16%
Moi Kompong Dewa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boeung Ket Moi Kompong Dewa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.65 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 CPL
Boeung Ket vs Moi Kompong Dewa
4:3
Apr 4, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Boeung Ket
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Boeung Ket
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 CPL
Boeung Ket vs Moi Kompong Dewa
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Boeung Ket
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boeung Ket Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dehmie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Moi Kompong Dewa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mon R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boeung Ket 39 / 100
Moi Kompong Dewa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boeung Ket Moi Kompong Dewa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boeung Ket Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Boeung Ket scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Moi Kompong Dewa conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Boeung Ket remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Boeung Ket VS Moi Kompong Dewa
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Boeung Ket

(Home)
19 Sept
Boeung Ket
1 : 2
Visakha
06 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
3 : 3
Boeung Ket
20 May
Svay Rieng
3 : 2
Boeung Ket
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
07 May
Svay Rieng
2 : 3
Boeung Ket
Page 1 of 7

Moi Kompong Dewa

(Away)
20 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
2 : 0
Life FC
13 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
0 : 2
Visakha
05 Sept
Angkor Tiger
0 : 0
Moi Kompong Dewa
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
10 May
Moi Kompong Dewa
1 : 2
Angkor Tiger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 30 20 4 6 82:36 64
2 Phnom Penh Crown 30 17 5 8 53:36 56
3 Angkor Tiger 30 17 5 8 71:41 56
4 Boeung Ket 30 15 8 7 44:29 53
5 NagaWorld 30 12 7 11 42:39 43
6 Moi Kompong Dewa 30 11 8 11 43:45 41
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)