Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogen vs Kirchanschoring

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 game between Bogen and Kirchanschoring finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kirchanschoring.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Bogen
20%
Draws
64%
Kirchanschoring
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kirchanschoring

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Kirchanschoring carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kirchanschoring are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Bogen Clean Sheet 16%
Kirchanschoring Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogen Kirchanschoring
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 6 19
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Kirchanschoring
2:4
Sep 10, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kirchanschoring vs Bogen
1:0
Mar 12, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Kirchanschoring
0:0
Aug 25, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kirchanschoring vs Bogen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogen 15 / 100
Kirchanschoring 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogen Kirchanschoring

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kirchanschoring Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kirchanschoring conceded in 74% of 42 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Kirchanschoring has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Bogen scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kirchanschoring
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogen

(Home)
08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0
Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0
Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2
Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0
Bogen
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Kirchanschoring

(Away)
12 Sept
Kirchanschoring
1 : 1
Munich 1860 II
05 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
2 : 1
Kirchanschoring
29 Aug
Kirchanschoring
3 : 1
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
22 Aug
Ismaning
4 : 0
Kirchanschoring
18 Aug
Kirchanschoring
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pullach 34 21 10 3 73:32 73
2 Unterfohring 34 21 6 7 62:42 69
3 Pipinsried 34 18 9 7 55:38 63
4 TSV Schwabmunchen 34 17 9 8 54:43 60
5 Dachau 34 18 6 10 56:49 60
6 Vilzing 34 14 10 10 47:48 52
7 Heimstetten 34 15 7 12 68:52 52
8 Kirchanschoring 34 13 9 12 40:39 48
9 Sonthofen 34 12 11 11 55:44 47
10 Rain/Lech 34 13 7 14 64:58 46
11 Ismaning 34 10 12 12 52:52 42
12 Kottern-St. Mang 34 10 9 15 64:72 39
13 Hankofen-Hailing 34 8 11 15 36:57 35
14 Wolfratshausen 34 10 4 20 44:66 34
15 Landsberg 34 9 7 18 46:65 34
16 Regensburg II 34 10 3 21 53:56 33
17 Bogen 34 8 7 19 34:62 31
18 Gundelfingen 34 6 9 19 39:67 27
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)