Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogen vs Landsberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 game between Bogen and Landsberg finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bogen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bogen
30%
Draws
58%
Landsberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Landsberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Landsberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Landsberg a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bogen Clean Sheet 13%
Landsberg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogen Landsberg
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 18
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.87 2.08
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Landsberg
2:1
Aug 6, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Landsberg vs Bogen
3:3
May 7, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Landsberg vs Bogen
1:2
Oct 10, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Landsberg
3:3
Apr 29, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Landsberg vs Bogen
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogen 11 / 100
Landsberg 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogen Landsberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Landsberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Landsberg has conceded goals in 84% of their last 38 outings.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Bogen found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Bogen remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Landsberg
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogen

(Home)
08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0
Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0
Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2
Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0
Bogen
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Landsberg

(Away)
11 Sept
Burghausen
1 : 2
Landsberg
05 Sept
Landsberg
1 : 3
Buchbach
30 Aug
Munich 1860
1 : 1
Landsberg
21 Aug
Landsberg
0 : 0
Vfb Eichstatt
14 Aug
Furth II
2 : 0
Landsberg
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pullach 34 21 10 3 73:32 73
2 Unterfohring 34 21 6 7 62:42 69
3 Pipinsried 34 18 9 7 55:38 63
4 TSV Schwabmunchen 34 17 9 8 54:43 60
5 Dachau 34 18 6 10 56:49 60
6 Vilzing 34 14 10 10 47:48 52
7 Heimstetten 34 15 7 12 68:52 52
8 Kirchanschoring 34 13 9 12 40:39 48
9 Sonthofen 34 12 11 11 55:44 47
10 Rain/Lech 34 13 7 14 64:58 46
11 Ismaning 34 10 12 12 52:52 42
12 Kottern-St. Mang 34 10 9 15 64:72 39
13 Hankofen-Hailing 34 8 11 15 36:57 35
14 Wolfratshausen 34 10 4 20 44:66 34
15 Landsberg 34 9 7 18 46:65 34
16 Regensburg II 34 10 3 21 53:56 33
17 Bogen 34 8 7 19 34:62 31
18 Gundelfingen 34 6 9 19 39:67 27
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)