Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogen vs SB Chiemgau Traunstein

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bogen
20%
Draws
40%
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • SB Chiemgau Traunstein carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bogen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • SB Chiemgau Traunstein arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bogen Clean Sheet 10%
SB Chiemgau Traunstein Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogen SB Chiemgau Traunstein
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bogen vs SB Chiemgau Traunstein
1:1
May 31, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
SB Chiemgau Traunstein vs Bogen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogen 56 / 100
SB Chiemgau Traunstein 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogen SB Chiemgau Traunstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bogen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SB Chiemgau Traunstein let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

SB Chiemgau Traunstein's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bogen found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Bogen VS SB Chiemgau Traunstein
0 Goals Scored 1.75
5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogen

(Home)
08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0
Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0
Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2
Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0
Bogen
Page 1 of 6

SB Chiemgau Traunstein

(Away)
24 Jun
FC Botosani
5 : 0
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
24 Jun
Buchbach
5 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
03 Jun
Turkspor Augsburg
0 : 0
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
0 : 2
Turkspor Augsburg
01 Jul
Garching
4 : 2
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Jahn Forchheim 6
Alemannia Haibach 2
TBD -
Erlenbach -
Erlangen 3
Regensburg II 0
TBD -
Feucht -
Landsberg 3
Turkspor Augsburg 3
TBD -
Wolfratshausen -
SB Chiemgau Traunstein 3
SV Donaustauf 1
TBD -
Bogen -
Final
Jahn Forchheim 1
Erlenbach 4
Erlangen 3
Feucht 2
Landsberg 1
Wolfratshausen 6
SB Chiemgau Traunstein 3
Bogen 1