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Bognor Regis vs Dulwich Hamlet

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Mather J.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 game between Bognor Regis and Dulwich Hamlet finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bognor Regis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bognor Regis
20%
Draws
33%
Dulwich Hamlet
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bognor Regis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bognor Regis haven't matched Dulwich Hamlet's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bognor Regis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bognor Regis Clean Sheet 17%
Dulwich Hamlet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bognor Regis Dulwich Hamlet
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.69 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Dulwich Hamlet
1:0
Jan 4, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dulwich Hamlet vs Bognor Regis
3:4
Mar 23, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Dulwich Hamlet
0:2
Dec 2, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dulwich Hamlet vs Bognor Regis
1:1
Sep 21, 2019 FA Cup
Dulwich Hamlet vs Bognor Regis
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bognor Regis Compare

Top Goalscorer Mather J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dulwich Hamlet Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bognor Regis 84 / 100
Dulwich Hamlet 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bognor Regis Dulwich Hamlet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bognor Regis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bognor Regis scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Dulwich Hamlet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Bognor Regis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bognor Regis VS Dulwich Hamlet
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bognor Regis

(Home)
29 Aug
Bognor Regis
3 : 0
South Park
01 Aug
Bognor Regis
1 : 1
Chichester City
25 Jul
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 4
Bognor Regis
18 Jul
Sholing
3 : 2
Bognor Regis
11 Jul
Bognor Regis
4 : 1
Hamble
Page 1 of 6

Dulwich Hamlet

(Away)
31 Aug
Leatherhead
2 : 3
Dulwich Hamlet
29 Aug
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 2
Three Bridges
22 Aug
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 0
Dulwich Hamlet
15 Aug
Dulwich Hamlet
2 : 0
Cheshunt
11 Aug
Chatham
3 : 1
Dulwich Hamlet
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horsham FC 42 28 3 11 82:40 87
2 Billericay 42 26 9 7 83:42 87
3 Dartford 42 25 9 8 77:49 84
4 Cray Valley 42 23 11 8 80:56 77
5 Dover Ath. 42 23 7 12 83:48 76
6 Chichester City 42 22 7 13 72:59 73
7 Carshalton 42 20 10 12 72:54 70
8 Hashtag 42 18 10 14 82:71 64
9 Chatham 42 17 12 13 74:53 63
10 Cray Wanderers 42 18 7 17 58:52 61
11 Wingate & Finchley 42 17 9 16 76:67 60
12 Folkestone 42 17 7 18 61:66 58
13 Lewes 42 15 13 14 59:64 58
14 Potters 42 17 6 19 57:75 57
15 Cheshunt 42 14 7 21 61:69 49
16 Whitehawk 42 14 7 21 49:66 49
17 Canvey Island 42 13 5 24 48:66 44
18 Dulwich Hamlet 42 12 8 22 58:80 44
19 Hendon 42 9 12 21 61:79 39
20 Hastings 42 8 10 24 37:75 34
21 Bognor Regis 42 8 8 26 51:100 32
22 Bowers & Pitsea 42 7 5 30 34:84 26
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)