Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogota vs Barranquilla

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Mosquera Y.
32'
Sub
Vanegas R. In: Perez J.
Out: Vanegas R.
36' Event
Gomez L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Bogota and Barranquilla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bogota.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bogota
15%
Draws
39%
Barranquilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Barranquilla's 1.35 goals per match outpaces what Bogota have produced (0.81).
  • Bogota are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bogota Clean Sheet 68%
Barranquilla Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota Barranquilla
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.81 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Barranquilla
2:1
May 13, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Barranquilla
1:1
May 8, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Bogota
2:0
Mar 16, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Bogota
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Barranquilla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bogota Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval Lasso H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Barranquilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota 50 / 100
Barranquilla 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota Barranquilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bogota Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Barranquilla conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bogota went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Barranquilla registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bogota VS Barranquilla
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogota

(Home)
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
29 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 1
Bogota
25 Aug
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 2
Bogota
Page 1 of 7

Barranquilla

(Away)
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2
Barranquilla
01 Sept
Barranquilla
2 : 1
Boca Juniors de Cali
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tigres Futbol Club 9 5 2 2 11:3 17
2 Real Cundinamarca 9 5 2 2 16:9 17
3 Independiente Valle del Cauca 9 5 2 2 10:3 17
4 Patriotas 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
5 Cartagena 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
6 Atletico F.C. 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
7 Boca Juniors de Cali 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
8 Real Santander 9 2 5 2 11:14 11
9 Bogota 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
10 Inter Palmira 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
11 Quindio 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
12 Orsomarso 8 2 3 3 4:6 9
13 Leones 9 2 3 4 7:15 9
14 Barranquilla 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
15 Envigado 8 1 4 3 6:8 7
16 Union Magdalena 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)