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Bogota vs Patriotas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
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AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Bogota and Patriotas finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bogota
20%
Draws
44%
Patriotas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Patriotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Bogota carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bogota are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bogota Clean Sheet 16%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota Patriotas
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Bogota
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Bogota
1:1
Mar 24, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Patriotas
0:2
Aug 13, 2023 Primera B
Bogota vs Patriotas
0:1
Feb 25, 2023 Primera B
Patriotas vs Bogota
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota 57 / 100
Patriotas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota Patriotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bogota Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bogota found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Patriotas has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bogota remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bogota VS Patriotas
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogota

(Home)
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3
Envigado
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0
Bogota
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 7

Patriotas

(Away)
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1
Independiente Valle del Cauca
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1
Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
12 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
13 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)