Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogota vs Union Magdalena

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Aladesanmi K.
44'
Mera D.
58'
Sub
Arrieta G. In: Farias J.
Out: Arrieta G.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Bogota and Union Magdalena finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bogota.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bogota
33%
Draws
27%
Union Magdalena
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Magdalena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bogota are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bogota Clean Sheet 68%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota Union Magdalena
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Union Magdalena
1:0
May 21, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
0:0
Apr 27, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Union Magdalena
1:1
Jan 26, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
0:0
Jul 25, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bogota Compare

Top Goalscorer Aladesanmi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Union Magdalena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota 50 / 100
Union Magdalena 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota Union Magdalena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bogota scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Union Magdalena has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bogota stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bogota VS Union Magdalena
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogota

(Home)
25 Jul
Bogota
1 : 0
Union Magdalena
22 Jul
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1
Bogota
21 May
Union Magdalena
0 : 0
Bogota
18 May
Bogota
1 : 2
Cartagena
13 May
Bogota
1 : 1
Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6

Union Magdalena

(Away)
25 Jul
Bogota
1 : 0
Union Magdalena
21 May
Union Magdalena
0 : 0
Bogota
17 May
Barranquilla
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
12 May
Union Magdalena
3 : 0
Cartagena
09 May
Cartagena
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cartagena11005:13
2Patriotas11003:13
3Ind. Yumbo11002:03
4Envigado11001:03
5Leones11001:03
6Bogota11001:03
7Boca Juniors de Cali11001:03
8Orsomarso11001:03
9Quindio10010:10
10Tigres Futbol Club10010:10
11Real Cundinamarca10010:10
12Union Magdalena10010:10
13Barranquilla10010:10
14Inter Palmira10011:30
15Atletico F.C.10010:20
16Real Santander10011:50
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)