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Bohemians vs Derry City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Dalymount Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Vaughan H.
34' Event
Duffy M.
47' Event
Hickey P.
Assist: Flores J.

AI Match Summary

Bohemians in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bohemians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bohemians
20%
Draws
47%
Derry City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bohemians lately — more wins on the board than Derry City.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 14%
Derry City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bohemians Derry City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Derry City
5:3
Jun 12, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Bohemians
4:1
May 1, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Derry City
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Bohemians
0:1
Sep 12, 2025 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Derry City
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bohemians Compare

Top Goalscorer Tierney R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hickey P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Duffy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bohemians 35 / 100
Derry City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bohemians Derry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bohemians found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Derry City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Bohemians has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bohemians VS Derry City
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bohemians

(Home)
16 Oct
Bohemians
2 : 1
Waterford
12 Oct
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1
Bohemians
09 Oct
Bohemians
0 : 2
Waterford
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2
Bohemians
26 Sept
Bohemians
0 : 0
Bohemians 1905
Page 1 of 7

Derry City

(Away)
19 Oct
Derry City
1 : 0
St. Patricks
16 Oct
Drogheda
2 : 0
Derry City
10 Oct
Galway United
0 : 2
Derry City
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 34 19 8 7 54:35 65
2 Bohemians 34 18 8 8 60:41 62
3 St. Patricks 34 17 8 9 53:28 59
4 Shelbourne 34 11 13 10 49:47 46
5 Derry City 34 10 14 10 46:44 44
6 Dundalk 34 10 12 12 51:56 42
7 Galway United 34 10 11 13 46:51 41
8 Waterford 34 8 13 13 48:58 37
9 Drogheda 34 9 10 15 41:54 37
10 Sligo Rovers 34 5 9 20 26:60 24
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)