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Bohemians vs St. Patricks

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Dalymount Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Vaughan H.
33'
Hickey P.
39' Event
Whelan C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Bohemians and St. Patricks finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bohemians.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bohemians
15%
Draws
45%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Patricks come out ahead of Bohemians on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bohemians's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 68%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bohemians St. Patricks
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.83 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs St. Patricks
2:0
Apr 24, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Bohemians
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs St. Patricks
0:0
Oct 20, 2025 Premier Division
Bohemians vs St. Patricks
0:0
Jul 4, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Bohemians
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bohemians Compare

Top Goalscorer Tierney R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

St. Patricks Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bohemians 86 / 100
St. Patricks 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bohemians St. Patricks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bohemians Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bohemians's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

St. Patricks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Bohemians stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bohemians VS St. Patricks
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bohemians

(Home)
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3
Derry City
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0
Longford
13 Aug
Midtjylland
3 : 2
Bohemians
09 Aug
Waterford
3 : 1
Bohemians
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St. Patricks

(Away)
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2
St. Patricks
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2
Shamrock Rovers
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Derry City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 28 16 7 5 46:27 55
2 St. Patricks 29 14 8 7 45:25 50
3 Bohemians 29 14 8 7 50:34 50
4 Dundalk 29 10 10 9 46:45 40
5 Shelbourne 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
6 Derry City 29 7 13 9 41:40 34
7 Galway United 28 8 10 10 36:42 34
8 Waterford 29 7 11 11 39:48 32
9 Drogheda 29 6 10 13 33:48 28
10 Sligo Rovers 29 5 8 16 23:48 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)