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Bohemians vs Waterford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Dalymount Park, Dublin
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bohemians host Waterford in the Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Bohemians at 1.93 goals for, 1.27 against; Waterford at 1.66 for, 1.48 against. Head-to-head, Bohemians have won 3 to Waterford's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.81) point toward Bohemians. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bohemians
30%
Draws
27%
Waterford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bohemians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bohemians come out ahead of Waterford on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bohemians taking it.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 11%
Waterford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bohemians Waterford
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Bohemians
3:1
Apr 6, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Waterford
1:1
Mar 6, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs Bohemians
0:1
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Waterford vs Bohemians
1:4
Sep 19, 2025 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Waterford
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bohemians 35 / 100
Waterford 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bohemians Waterford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bohemians's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bohemians went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Waterford has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bohemians VS Waterford
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bohemians

(Home)
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2
Bohemians
26 Sept
Bohemians
0 : 0
Bohemians 1905
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
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Waterford

(Away)
18 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2
Waterford
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2
Derry City
11 Sept
Waterford
1 : 1
Dundalk
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Bohemians 32 17 8 7 57:38 59
3 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 33 10 11 12 50:55 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)