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Boldmere St Michaels W vs Derby W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League North
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AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North game between Boldmere St Michaels W and Derby W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Boldmere St Michaels W
30%
Draws
52%
Derby W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Derby W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Derby W a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Women's National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Derby W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Boldmere St Michaels W Clean Sheet 10%
Derby W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boldmere St Michaels W Derby W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Women's National League North
Boldmere St Michaels W vs Derby W
2:3
Nov 27, 2022 Women's National League North
Boldmere St Michaels W vs Derby W
2:2
Sep 4, 2022 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Boldmere St Michaels W
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boldmere St Michaels W 18 / 100
Derby W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boldmere St Michaels W Derby W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Boldmere St Michaels W scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Derby W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Boldmere St Michaels W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boldmere St Michaels W VS Derby W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Boldmere St Michaels W

(Home)
18 Oct
Boldmere St Michaels W
2 : 3
Derby W
11 Oct
Rugby Borough W
5 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels W
04 Oct
Hull City W
1 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels W
20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Norwich W
2 : 2
Boldmere St Michaels W
Page 1 of 6

Derby W

(Away)
18 Oct
Boldmere St Michaels W
2 : 3
Derby W
11 Oct
Derby W
2 : 1
Hull City W
04 Oct
Derby W
0 : 3
West Brom W
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 8 7 0 1 20:2 21
2 West Brom W 8 6 0 2 15:7 18
3 Huddersfield W 8 5 2 1 21:12 17
4 Stoke City LFC W 8 4 2 2 16:8 14
5 Liverpool Feds W 8 4 0 4 16:14 12
6 Derby W 8 4 0 4 11:14 12
7 Peterborough W 8 4 0 4 11:18 12
8 Norwich W 8 2 4 2 10:10 10
9 Loughborough Lightning W 8 2 1 5 11:19 7
10 Boldmere St Michaels W 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
11 Middlesbrough W 8 1 1 6 3:10 4
12 Hull City W 8 1 1 6 7:17 4
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