Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz

Bolivar

1 - 1

Deportivo La Guaira

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Londono F.

Assist: Meza J.

53'

Sub

Londono F. In: Faya C.

Out: Londono F.

61'

Sub

Melgar C. A. In: Velasquez J.

Out: Melgar C. A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Bolivar

Draws

Deportivo La Guaira

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Bolivar come out ahead of Deportivo La Guaira on wins alone.
Win probability leans Bolivar's way, sitting at 90%.
Bolivar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%

Bolivar Clean Sheet 68%

Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bolivar	Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	15	8
Draws	7	14
Losses	6	7
Goals Scored	1.63	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolivar

1:1

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Bolivar vs Deportivo La Guaira

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Londono F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivar 95 / 100

Deportivo La Guaira 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bolivar Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivar found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Bolivar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Deportivo La Guaira's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bolivar VS Deportivo La Guaira

1.63 Goals Scored 0.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivar

(Home)

30 Jul

Gremio

0 : 1

Bolivar

26 Jul

Bolivar

2 : 1

Real Potosi

23 Jul

Bolivar

3 : 2

Gremio

18 Jul

Bolivar

4 : 0

Guabira

12 Jul

The Strongest

1 : 1

Bolivar

Page 1 of 6

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)

31 May

Deportivo La Guaira

0 : 2

Academia Puerto Cabello

28 May

Fluminense

3 : 1

Deportivo La Guaira

23 May

Portuguesa

0 : 2

Deportivo La Guaira

21 May

Deportivo La Guaira

2 : 4

Ind. Rivadavia

15 May

Deportivo La Guaira

0 : 0

Universidad Central

Page 1 of 6