Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz

Bolivar

2 - 0

Fluminense

Our Tip

Match Events

Matheus R.

Assist: Sagredo J.

21'

Castillo R.

29'

Bernal F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Bolivar

20%

Draws

28%

Fluminense

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Bolivar lately — more wins on the board than Fluminense.
Bolivar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Bolivar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Bolivar, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%

Bolivar Clean Sheet 68%

Fluminense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bolivar	Fluminense
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	16	12
Draws	7	12
Losses	6	6
Goals Scored	2.1	1.4
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.19	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Fluminense vs Bolivar

2:1

Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Bolivar vs Fluminense

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus R.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.68

Avg xA / game 1.09

Fluminense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivar 86 / 100

Fluminense 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bolivar Fluminense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolivar Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivar scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Bolivar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Fluminense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bolivar VS Fluminense

2.88 Goals Scored 1.88

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivar

(Home)

14 Sept

Tomayapo

1 : 2

Bolivar

11 Sept

Bolivar

1 : 1

Independiente

06 Sept

Independiente

0 : 4

Bolivar

02 Sept

GV San Jose

0 : 1

Bolivar

30 Aug

Bolivar

4 : 2

The Strongest

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Fluminense

(Away)

15 Sept

Platense

2 : 1

Fluminense

12 Sept

Atletico-MG

3 : 1

Fluminense

08 Sept

Fluminense

2 : 0

Platense

06 Sept

Fluminense

1 : 0

Vasco

30 Aug

Athletico-PR

3 : 3

Fluminense

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