Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz

Bolivar

2 - 0

Fluminense

Our Tip

Match Events

Matheus R.

Assist: Sagredo J.

21'

Castillo R.

29'

Bernal F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bolivar in this Copa Libertadores tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Bolivar

17%

Draws

70%

Fluminense

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Fluminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Fluminense at 1.63 per game, Bolivar at 1.25.
Fluminense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Bolivar, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%

Bolivar Clean Sheet 16%

Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bolivar	Fluminense
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	14	14
Draws	7	8
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	1.25	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Fluminense vs Bolivar

2:1

Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Bolivar vs Fluminense

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus R.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Fluminense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivar 15 / 100

Fluminense 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bolivar Fluminense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivar scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Fluminense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bolivar stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bolivar VS Fluminense

1.25 Goals Scored 1.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivar

(Home)

18 Jul

Bolivar

4 : 0

Guabira

12 Jul

The Strongest

1 : 1

Bolivar

28 May

Bolivar

1 : 3

Ind. Rivadavia

19 May

Fluminense

2 : 1

Bolivar

16 May

Club Universitario de Vinto

3 : 2

Bolivar

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Fluminense

(Away)

17 Jul

Fluminense

1 : 1

Bragantino

12 Jul

Fluminense

2 : 0

Bahia

08 Jul

Fluminense

6 : 1

Nova Iguacu

31 May

Cruzeiro

1 : 1

Fluminense

28 May

Fluminense

3 : 1

Deportivo La Guaira

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