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Bolivar vs GV San Jose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Quispe E.
25' Event
Garcia J.
Assist: Paz L.
37'
Paz L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Bolivar
20%
Draws
17%
GV San Jose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Bolivar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bolivar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Bolivar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bolivar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bolivar have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 20%
GV San Jose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivar GV San Jose
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 20 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.38 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Copa Pacena
Bolivar vs GV San Jose
3:2
Sep 18, 2026 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs GV San Jose
4:2
Sep 2, 2026 Copa Pacena
GV San Jose vs Bolivar
0:1
May 3, 2026 Division Profesional
GV San Jose vs Bolivar
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Division Profesional
GV San Jose vs Bolivar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miranda B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

GV San Jose Compare

Top Goalscorer Caceres A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Moresche
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivar 85 / 100
GV San Jose 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivar GV San Jose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolivar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivar found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: GV San Jose conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bolivar stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bolivar VS GV San Jose
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivar

(Home)
09 Oct
Blooming
1 : 1
Bolivar
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3
Bolivar
01 Oct
Bolivar
3 : 2
GV San Jose
27 Sept
Bolivar
3 : 0
Blooming
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
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GV San Jose

(Away)
07 Oct
Independiente
1 : 0
GV San Jose
04 Oct
GV San Jose
3 : 2
Blooming
01 Oct
Bolivar
3 : 2
GV San Jose
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3
Independiente
20 Sept
Real Oruro
1 : 0
GV San Jose
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 8 5 3 0 17:7 18
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 8 1 1 6 11:20 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)