Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Vaca Moreno E.
14' Event
Lampe C.
Own Goal
36'
Hoyos D.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional game between Bolivar and Nacional Potosi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Bolivar
17%
Draws
13%
Nacional Potosi
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Bolivar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bolivar's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivar Nacional Potosi
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
1:1
Dec 22, 2025 Copa Pacena
Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
1:4
Dec 20, 2025 Copa Pacena
Nacional Potosi vs Bolivar
0:2
Dec 5, 2025 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
5:2
Jul 10, 2025 Copa Pacena
Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Nacional Potosi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivar 67 / 100
Nacional Potosi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivar Nacional Potosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bolivar scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Nacional Potosi let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Bolivar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bolivar VS Nacional Potosi
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivar

(Home)
23 Jul
Bolivar
3 : 2
Gremio
18 Jul
Bolivar
4 : 0
Guabira
12 Jul
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
28 May
Bolivar
1 : 3
Ind. Rivadavia
19 May
Fluminense
2 : 1
Bolivar
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Nacional Potosi

(Away)
20 Jul
Nacional Potosi
1 : 4
Real Oruro
12 Jul
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
10 Jul
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Aurora
17 May
Guabira
2 : 1
Nacional Potosi
14 May
Bolivar
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Always Ready1072124:523
2The Strongest1064015:822
3Bolivar1053224:1018
4Aurora1045116:1117
5Real Potosi1044216:816
6Blooming1044216:1116
7Real Oruro1042421:2314
8Nacional Potosi1033413:1412
9Independiente1033414:1712
10Academia del Balompie1040617:2312
11Oriente Petrolero1032513:1511
12Guabira1032514:2411
13Club Universitario de Vinto1031615:2010
14San Antonio Bulo Bulo1031612:2010
15Tomayapo102267:218
16GV San Jose1014510:177
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)