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Bolivia vs Chile

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Municipal de El Alto (Villa Ingenio), El Alto
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Miguelito
Assist: Medina D.
19'
Chavez Cruz L. L.
20'
Kuscevic B.

AI Match Summary

Bolivia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bolivia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bolivia
15%
Draws
51%
Chile
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bolivia haven't matched Chile's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Chile taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Bolivia Clean Sheet 14%
Chile Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivia Chile
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship
Bolivia vs Chile
2:0
Sep 10, 2024 World Championship
Chile vs Bolivia
1:2
Jun 21, 2023 Friendly International
Bolivia vs Chile
0:0
Feb 1, 2022 World Championship
Bolivia vs Chile
2:3
Jun 18, 2021 Copa América
Chile vs Bolivia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguelito
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monteiro E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chile Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia 15 / 100
Chile 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivia Chile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Bolivia's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bolivia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bolivia VS Chile
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivia

(Home)
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
01 Apr
Iraq
2 : 1
Bolivia
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
15 Mar
Bolivia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
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Chile

(Away)
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
06 Jun
Portugal
2 : 1
Chile
30 Mar
New Zealand
4 : 1
Chile
27 Mar
Chile
4 : 2
Cape Verde
18 Nov
Chile
2 : 1
Peru
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina 18 12 2 4 31:10 38
2 Ecuador 18 8 8 2 14:5 29
3 Colombia 18 7 7 4 28:18 28
4 Uruguay 18 7 7 4 22:12 28
5 Brazil 18 8 4 6 24:17 28
6 Paraguay 18 7 7 4 14:10 28
7 Bolivia 18 6 2 10 17:35 20
8 Venezuela 18 4 6 8 18:28 18
9 Peru 18 2 6 10 6:21 12
10 Chile 18 2 5 11 9:27 11
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)