Sport Picks

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Bolivia vs Chile

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Municipal de El Alto (Villa Ingenio)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bolivia play Chile in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bolivia averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Chile averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Bolivia won 2, Chile won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 10, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Bolivia and 1.63 for Chile. This points to a Chile double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bolivia
16%
Draws
47%
Chile
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Bolivia picked up more points recently compared to Chile.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bolivia Clean Sheet 14%
Chile Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivia Chile
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship
Bolivia vs Chile
2:0
Sep 10, 2024 World Championship
Chile vs Bolivia
1:2
Jun 21, 2023 Friendly International
Bolivia vs Chile
0:0
Feb 1, 2022 World Championship
Bolivia vs Chile
2:3
Jun 18, 2021 Copa América
Chile vs Bolivia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguelito
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monteiro E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Chile Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia 36 / 100
Chile 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivia Chile

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chile or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bolivia attacking → ← attacking Chile

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivia scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Chile let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Bolivia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chile lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 36
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Argentina18122431:1038
2Ecuador1888214:529
3Colombia1877428:1828
4Uruguay1877422:1228
5Brazil1884624:1728
6Paraguay1877414:1028
7Bolivia18621017:3520
8Venezuela1846818:2818
9Peru1826106:2112
10Chile1825119:2711