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Bolivia vs Paraguay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Audi Field, Washington, DC
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Almiron M.
Assist: Morales R.
21'
Cuellar H.
30'
Mauricio

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Bolivia and Paraguay finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraguay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bolivia
15%
Draws
85%
Paraguay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraguay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bolivia haven't matched Paraguay's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Paraguay's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Bolivia Clean Sheet 15%
Paraguay Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivia Paraguay
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.17
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Friendly International
Bolivia vs Paraguay
0:2
Nov 19, 2024 World Championship
Bolivia vs Paraguay
2:2
Oct 17, 2023 World Championship
Paraguay vs Bolivia
1:0
Oct 14, 2021 World Championship
Bolivia vs Paraguay
4:0
Jun 15, 2021 Copa América
Paraguay vs Bolivia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Paraguay Compare

Top Goalscorer Almiron M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia 10 / 100
Paraguay 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivia Paraguay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bolivia scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Paraguay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Paraguay's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bolivia VS Paraguay
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivia

(Home)
01 Oct
Argentina
4 : 0
Bolivia
27 Sept
Bolivia
0 : 2
Paraguay
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
01 Apr
Iraq
2 : 1
Bolivia
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Paraguay

(Away)
03 Oct
Colombia
0 : 1
Paraguay
27 Sept
Bolivia
0 : 2
Paraguay
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1
France
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
26 Jun
Paraguay
0 : 0
Australia
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