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Bolnisi vs Gori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Tamaz Stepania Stadium, Bolnisi
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bolnisi host Gori in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2. This one's hard to separate. Gori have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Bolnisi have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Bolnisi have won 0 to Gori's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.63, favoring Gori. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Bolnisi
35%
Draws
40%
Gori
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gori lately — more wins on the board than Bolnisi.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 14%
Gori Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolnisi Gori
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori vs Bolnisi
4:1
Jul 25, 2026 Georgian Cup
Gori vs Bolnisi
1:0
May 6, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Gori
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gori vs Bolnisi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolnisi 31 / 100
Gori 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolnisi Gori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolnisi scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Gori's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bolnisi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bolnisi VS Gori
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolnisi

(Home)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
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Gori

(Away)
20 Sept
Gori
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
06 Sept
Odishi 1919
2 : 3
Gori
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)