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Bolnisi vs Merani Martvili Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Tamaz Stepania Stadium, Bolnisi
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mindiashvili T.
Assist: Gazdeliani R.
32'
Kevin
32'
Chumburidze N.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between Bolnisi and Merani Martvili finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bolnisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bolnisi
20%
Draws
44%
Merani Martvili
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Merani Martvili

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Merani Martvili come out ahead of Bolnisi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bolnisi's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 18%
Merani Martvili Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolnisi Merani Martvili
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Bolnisi
2:1
Jun 13, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Merani Martvili
2:0
Apr 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Bolnisi
2:1
Oct 21, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Merani Martvili
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Martvili vs Bolnisi
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolnisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mindiashvili T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kevin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Merani Martvili Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolnisi 76 / 100
Merani Martvili 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolnisi Merani Martvili

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolnisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolnisi's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Merani Martvili conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Bolnisi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bolnisi VS Merani Martvili
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolnisi

(Home)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
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Merani Martvili

(Away)
20 Sept
Samtredia
5 : 0
Merani Martvili
16 Sept
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Bolnisi
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Kolkheti 1913
2 : 0
Merani Martvili
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)