Sport Picks

Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026 Centro Sportivo Crespellano

Genoa U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bologna U20 play Genoa U20 in the Primavera 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bologna U20 averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. Genoa U20 averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Bologna U20 won 2, Genoa U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 27, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Bologna U20 and 1.25 for Genoa U20. This points to a Bologna U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Bologna U20

30%

Draws

27%

Genoa U20

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bologna U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Bologna U20 picked up more points recently compared to Genoa U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%

Bologna U20 Clean Sheet 19%

Genoa U20 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bologna U20	Genoa U20
Matches Played	34	40
Wins	16	12
Draws	11	13
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	1.56	1.35
Goals Conceded	1.12	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Primavera 1

Bologna U20 vs Genoa U20

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Oct 3, 2025 Primavera 1

Genoa U20 vs Bologna U20

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Jan 22, 2025 Primavera 1

Genoa U20 vs Bologna U20

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Aug 25, 2024 Primavera 1

Bologna U20 vs Genoa U20

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 0 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaku J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Genoa U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna U20 43 / 100

Genoa U20 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bologna U20 Genoa U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bologna U20 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bologna U20 attacking → ← attacking Genoa U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bologna U20 scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Genoa U20 let in goals in 78% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Bologna U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Genoa U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 49

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fiorentina U20	38	19	11	8	70:48	68
2	Parma U20	38	19	11	8	59:38	68
3	Cesena U20	38	19	10	9	70:52	67
4	AS Roma U20	38	17	12	9	59:35	63
5	Bologna U20	38	17	11	10	54:40	62
6	Inter U20	38	16	11	11	70:61	59
7	Atalanta U20	38	14	15	9	54:47	57
8	Juventus U20	38	14	13	11	52:48	55
9	Lecce U20	38	14	12	12	54:53	54
10	Genoa U20	38	12	14	12	49:52	50
11	AC Milan U20	38	11	16	11	51:49	49
12	Verona U20	38	12	12	14	55:61	48
13	Torino U20	38	11	14	13	50:50	47
14	Monza U20	38	12	11	15	37:45	47
15	Lazio U20	38	12	11	15	44:51	47
16	Sassuolo U20	38	10	14	14	51:58	44
17	Napoli U20	38	10	10	18	39:55	40
18	Cagliari U20	38	10	9	19	49:62	39
19	Frosinone U20	38	8	11	19	47:76	35
20	Cremonese U20	38	6	6	26	31:64	24