Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Hatate R.
Assist: Maeda D.
27'
27'
Maeda D.
31'
31'
Hatate R.
AI Match Summary
The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Bologna and Celtic finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bologna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Celtic carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Bologna a 42% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Bologna Clean Sheet 10%
Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bologna | Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 22, 2026 Europa League
Bologna vs Celtic
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bologna Compare
Top Goalscorer Dallinga T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rowe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer Hatate R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Trusty A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bologna 40 / 100
Celtic 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bologna Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Bologna's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Bologna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bologna VS Celtic
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Bologna
(Home) 25 Jul
Bologna
2 : 0 Iraklis FC
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1 Heidenheim
18 Jul
Bologna
0 : 4 Arminia Bielefeld
23 May
Bologna
3 : 3 Inter
17 May
Atalanta
0 : 1 Bologna
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Bologna
2 : 0 Iraklis FC
22 Jul
Bologna
1 : 1 Heidenheim
18 Jul
Bologna
0 : 4 Arminia Bielefeld
23 May
Bologna
3 : 3 Inter
03 May
Bologna
0 : 0 Cagliari
Page 1 of 4
Celtic
(Away) 25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2 AC Milan
18 Jul
Celtic
1 : 1 Middlesbrough
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Celtic
07 Jul
Shelbourne
1 : 1 Celtic
23 May
Celtic
3 : 1 Dunfermline
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Celtic
07 Jul
Shelbourne
1 : 1 Celtic
13 May
Motherwell
2 : 3 Celtic
03 May
Hibernian
1 : 2 Celtic
05 Apr
Dundee FC
1 : 2 Celtic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
